quinta-feira, 19 de março de 2015

Israel after Netanyahu's reelection, what future?

The battle was hard, because the polls pointed to victory for the Zionist Union or to a tie between the two parties, what would the scenario of a central block.

Netanyahu got the better of the duel, but still the Likud will have to sit down at the negotiating table with smaller parties to form a Government.

The continuity of the Israeli Prime Minister left the cloudy weather in the future. Because Netanyahu's relations with the Palestinians and the international level have deteriorated.

The campaign is dominated by the agenda of security seems to have convinced the Israelites, contrary to all forecasts. To some political analysts, like Amotz Asael, the question that arises now is the conditions of governance: "This Government will have many elements and each of which remará in opposite directions. Manage this situation will be much more complex for Netanyahu than the celebrations of victory seem to suggest. "

The talks to form coalition are already underway, but the doubts about the Alliance persist, given the possible options.

Netanyahu has already sent invitations to right-wing formations, centrist, nationalist-inspired and/or Jewish, but apparently the Zionist Union also may be consulted.

The only certainty, at least for the Palestinians is that the renewal of Netanyahu, is no cause for joy. The little hope that they could exist in relation to a new direction quickly came crashing down, but the determination for a diplomatic and legal confrontation remains standing.

"The old policy will continue. The Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, was quite clear in the last days of the campaign. Said he will never allow a Palestinian State, which will not leave not an inch of the occupied Palestinian territories, and that Jerusalem will remain United as Israel's capital. This means that closes all options at peace negotiations, "said Abdullah Abdullah, the Palestinian Authority.

A controversial dossier that waits for Netanyahu, together with the economic issues, the Prime Minister relegated into the background during the election campaign, but that promise still do run a lot of ink.

The purpose of the election result we talked to Uri Dromi, founding Director of the Press Club of Jerusalem and former spokesman for the Governments of Shimon Peres and Yitzhak Rabin, in the Decade of 90.

Alasdair Sandford, Euronews: Uri, received with surprise to news of the victory of Benjamin Netanyahu and the Likud?

URI Dromi, Director of the Press Club of Jerusalem and former spokesman for the Governments of Shimon Peres and Yitzhak Rabin: Yes. The polls predicted a labour victory and then there was the draw. It was a surprise and faced the possibility of labour form a coalition. In the morning, maybe like most Israelis around the world, I was truly amazed with the results. "

Alasdair Sandford, Euronews: Benjamin Netanyahu spoke highly on safety and threats to Israel. That was the message that convinced in the end?

URI Dromi, Director of the Press Club of Jerusalem and former spokesman for the Governments of Shimon Peres and Yitzhak Rabin: "I think Netanyahu has managed, in a brilliant coup, the best of all possible worlds. On the one hand, it is seen as the best answer to security challenges. On the other, to include Kahlon, offering you a Ministry of relief, is also telling the Israelis that it is not indifferent to their grievances. "

Alasdair Sandford, Euronews: given that fact, what kind of expecting to see Government formed in the next few weeks?

URI Dromi, Director of the Press Club of Jerusalem and former spokesman for the Governments of Shimon Peres and Yitzhak Rabin: "we will have a center-right Government, to tend to the right. An Executive of hawks, but with Socialist traits in social and economic matters. "

Alasdair Sandford, Euronews: Netanyahu said "no" to a Palestinian State, "Yes" to more settlements in the occupied territories. What effect does that have?

URI Dromi, Director of the Press Club of Jerusalem and former spokesman for the Governments of Shimon Peres and Yitzhak Rabin: "from the outset, for the Palestinians, this is a sign that there is no Israeli interlocutor, that is the same feeling you have the Israelis, without a Palestinian interlocutor. Wherever you look, is an extension of the iron arm, a cul-de-sac and this is dangerous. What is happening in the Middle East, and particularly in our region, more specifically in our relations with the Palestinians, is that if you don't progress. Something always happens, be another intifada or more pressure through the United Nations or even the collapse of the Palestinian Authority. Abu Mazen [Mahmoud Abbas], or who wants to take your place, you can say ' enough '. They want a State, then fine, but it's a State in which there are 40 to 45% of Arabs. This would be the end of Israel as a Jewish and democratic State. This is a scenario that does not admit the immobility and for that reason I have trouble imagining that Netanyahu did not do anything. "

Of K S | With ALASDAIR SANDFORD

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