domingo, 25 de outubro de 2015

Poland: elections Sunday with nationalists ahead in the polls

The latest opinion polls point to the victory of the conservative party law and justice (PiS, by the letters in Polish), with 33 to 38 percent of the vote, although with little chance of forming a majority government.

Beata Szydlo, the candidate of the law and Justice Party, could be the next Prime Minister of Poland, though with the possible need for the rightmost coalitions, which could include political parties considered xenophobic.

The law and Justice Party is led by Jaroslaw Kaczyinski, twin brother of former Polish President Lech Kaczyinski, killed in a plane crash in 2010, in Russia.

The probable formation of Government on the part of PiS because markets concerned, although socially conservative, the party tends to be taken close to the left in the economic plan, which could put an end to the Warsaw alignment with the policies of Brussels for more than a decade.

In addition, PiS's election means that Poland would be part of the set of States members of the European Union with nationalist Governments, intensifying the differences with Brussels on topics such as emigration, refugees or economic convergence policies and structural reforms.

In second place in the polls the liberal civic platform (PO, in Polish), currently in power, with 22 to 26 percent of voting intentions, the candidate Eva Kopacz.

For Wojciech Szacki, analyst at Polish Polityka Insight think tank, the break in the popularity of the Liberal PO is the result of the defeat of the party's presidential candidate, Bronislaw Komorowski, in the presidential elections last May.

"The PO had a chance to rule while the former President Komorowski was in power. But this has shown no worrying about subject, especially during the presidential reelection, because he thought the Presidency was his. An arrogance that will cost dear to the PO, in reality, already lost these October general elections in May. "

One of the major concerns of these elections is the lack of interest of the population throughout the process. So the President Duda Adrzej came to remind the Polish public television how important it is to vote.

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